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1
il maltempo che ha interessato  nella giornata di ieri alcune zone del paese ha lasciato pesanti danni nel pesarese colpito da una devastante grandinata che ha rotto i vetri delle auto e inflitto danni enormi all agricoltura.
2
buona serata a tutto il forum di meteodue.di seguito   l evoluzione settimanale  delle anomalie delle SST  nel Pacifico tropicale
Ni˝o 1+2 (0-10S, 90W-80W) -0.2║C
Ni˝o 3 (5N-5S, 150W-90W) 0.4║C
Ni˝o 3.4 (5N-5S, 170W-120W)0.2║C
Ni˝o 4 (5N-5S, 160E-150W)0.2║C


condizioni di ENSO-neutrale sono attualmente presenti nel pacifico tropicale.
Durante le ultime quattro settimane,la temperatura superficiale dell'oceano pacifico nella fascia equatoriale Ŕ risultata leggermente sopra  alla media climatica,mentre Ŕ risultata al di sotto della media lungo la costa del Sud America

A livello globale, nelle ultime quattro settimane,  le SST equatoriali  sono risultate sopra la media in alcune aree del pacifico centro-orientale,Pacifico occidentale e Atlantico orientale, mentre sono risultate al di sotto della media nel Pacifico orientale e Oceano Indiano e aree adiacenti l'Indonesia.

I valori pi¨ recenti delle anomalie di calore superiore dell'oceano (positivo) e la pendenza vicino alla media  del termoclino riflettono  condizioni di enso neutrale nel pacifico tropicale

negli ultimi due mesi,  le anomalie positive al di sotto della superficie si sono rafforzate e si sono espanse in direzione dell  oceano pacifico orientale

a livello atmosferico,anomalie positive OLR   sono state individuate nella parte occidentale dell oceano pacifico Tropicale , mentre OLR negative sono state osservate su parti dell indonesia.
A 850 hpa   anomalie di vento occidentali hanno interessato le zone centro orientali dell oceano pacifico Tropicale per lo pi¨ confinate a nord dell'equatore.A 200hpa il vento atmosferico nella zona dell oceano pacifico tropicale Ŕ risultato vicino alla media.
in condizioni di enso neutrale, la temperature dellĺoceano, il pattern della piovositÓ tropicale e il vento atmosferico nella zona del Oceano Pacifico equatoriale risultano vicine alla media

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
3
Reading bellino per domenicaqualcuno potrebbRe divertirsi.....
Per ora ancora balletti ma speriamo che accentuino il peggioramento.
4
Reading bellino per domenicaqualcuno potrebbe divertirsi.....
5
Nowcasting Toscana / Re:Nowcasting Toscana martedý 17 luglio 2018
« Ultimo post da Matraino il Oggi alle 08:24:36 pm »
pioggia debole , si vuole rifare di ieri sera...
6
buona serata a tutto il forum di meteodue. disponibili i dati della  Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) relativi al mese di giugno  2018.L'anomalia media  mensile della temperatura  globale nel  mese di giugno 2018 ossia  la media della temperatura dell'aria sulla superficie terrestre e delle SST Ŕ stata di + 0,28 ░ Crispetto alla media del periodo 1981-2010,+ 0,63 ░ C rispetto alla media del 20 ░ secolo risultando il quinto giugno pi¨ caldo dal 1891.Su una scala temporale pi¨ lunga, le temperature medie  superficiali  globali sono aumentate ad un tasso di circa 0,71 ░ C per secolo.
1 st. 2016,2015 (+ 0,41 ░ C)
3 rd . 2017 (+ 0,36 ░ C)
4th. 2014(+0.33░C)
5th. 2018(+0.28░C)
distribuzione spaziale delle anomalie  riscontrate nel mese di giugno 2018
 
Anomalie mensili della temperatura  media superficiale a livello globale (░ C)

  Jan     Feb     Mar     Apr     May     Jun     Jul     Aug     Sep    Oct    Nov    Dec
1891   -0.86   -0.86   -0.74   -0.63   -0.54   -0.62   -0.61   -0.58   -0.44   -0.55   -0.79   -0.45
1892   -0.75   -0.51   -0.79   -0.76   -0.66   -0.65   -0.72   -0.72   -0.55   -0.64   -0.84   -1.03
1893   -1.32   -1.12   -0.77   -0.80   -0.83   -0.63   -0.54   -0.59   -0.61   -0.56   -0.69   -0.64
1894   -0.86   -0.70   -0.71   -0.73   -0.70   -0.73   -0.61   -0.64   -0.69   -0.68   -0.72   -0.74
1895   -0.88   -1.06   -0.82   -0.71   -0.67   -0.65   -0.63   -0.58   -0.49   -0.53   -0.53   -0.61
1896   -0.59   -0.53   -0.71   -0.66   -0.40   -0.39   -0.41   -0.39   -0.37   -0.35   -0.56   -0.38
1897   -0.58   -0.53   -0.67   -0.37   -0.31   -0.41   -0.43   -0.43   -0.33   -0.45   -0.67   -0.75
1898   -0.43   -0.69   -1.10   -0.80   -0.68   -0.57   -0.59   -0.55   -0.53   -0.79   -0.69   -0.53
1899   -0.48   -0.86   -0.86   -0.61   -0.58   -0.69   -0.56   -0.44   -0.41   -0.38   -0.23   -0.68
1900   -0.60   -0.63   -0.66   -0.52   -0.47   -0.41   -0.46   -0.48   -0.47   -0.30   -0.53   -0.35
1901   -0.57   -0.70   -0.64   -0.50   -0.48   -0.45   -0.50   -0.51   -0.65   -0.59   -0.65   -0.76
1902   -0.61   -0.66   -0.76   -0.77   -0.67   -0.73   -0.72   -0.65   -0.65   -0.69   -0.74   -0.85
1903   -0.65   -0.60   -0.74   -0.80   -0.74   -0.80   -0.76   -0.85   -0.80   -0.82   -0.84   -0.94
1904   -1.02   -0.96   -0.99   -0.89   -0.80   -0.85   -0.86   -0.83   -0.80   -0.74   -0.64   -0.70
1905   -0.85   -1.06   -0.83   -0.89   -0.66   -0.62   -0.61   -0.62   -0.59   -0.66   -0.50   -0.52
1906   -0.48   -0.63   -0.69   -0.42   -0.59   -0.58   -0.57   -0.58   -0.67   -0.65   -0.74   -0.61
1907   -0.82   -0.84   -0.72   -0.83   -0.86   -0.82   -0.72   -0.77   -0.67   -0.66   -0.84   -0.81
1908   -0.76   -0.82   -1.02   -0.84   -0.79   -0.78   -0.78   -0.80   -0.74   -0.86   -0.86   -0.86
1909   -0.92   -0.92   -1.02   -0.94   -0.90   -0.78   -0.82   -0.64   -0.67   -0.71   -0.67   -0.91
1910   -0.70   -0.85   -0.80   -0.76   -0.78   -0.78   -0.75   -0.76   -0.68   -0.77   -0.90   -0.95
1911   -0.87   -1.05   -0.98   -1.00   -0.84   -0.82   -0.78   -0.79   -0.74   -0.73   -0.64   -0.60
1912   -0.71   -0.61   -0.76   -0.66   -0.63   -0.60   -0.74   -0.82   -0.82   -0.91   -0.80   -0.75
1913   -0.77   -0.82   -0.85   -0.75   -0.76   -0.80   -0.74   -0.67   -0.66   -0.67   -0.46   -0.48
1914   -0.43   -0.54   -0.63   -0.65   -0.57   -0.55   -0.59   -0.54   -0.53   -0.42   -0.43   -0.51
1915   -0.46   -0.38   -0.59   -0.40   -0.45   -0.42   -0.36   -0.33   -0.41   -0.52   -0.40   -0.50
1916   -0.53   -0.57   -0.77   -0.53   -0.60   -0.71   -0.56   -0.61   -0.58   -0.63   -0.72   -0.92
1917   -0.86   -1.09   -1.05   -0.71   -0.89   -0.61   -0.44   -0.52   -0.37   -0.61   -0.50   -0.89
1918   -0.73   -0.74   -0.68   -0.71   -0.65   -0.44   -0.55   -0.49   -0.46   -0.30   -0.38   -0.51
1919   -0.55   -0.54   -0.72   -0.45   -0.54   -0.50   -0.57   -0.57   -0.47   -0.54   -0.76   -0.80
1920   -0.55   -0.62   -0.47   -0.59   -0.43   -0.48   -0.48   -0.47   -0.42   -0.47   -0.55   -0.61
1921   -0.40   -0.46   -0.49   -0.46   -0.46   -0.36   -0.36   -0.52   -0.42   -0.36   -0.55   -0.39
1922   -0.69   -0.62   -0.57   -0.55   -0.55   -0.56   -0.53   -0.58   -0.51   -0.53   -0.53   -0.55
1923   -0.52   -0.74   -0.74   -0.67   -0.57   -0.51   -0.57   -0.63   -0.49   -0.47   -0.30   -0.31
1924   -0.62   -0.53   -0.64   -0.54   -0.48   -0.47   -0.51   -0.51   -0.52   -0.50   -0.56   -0.80
1925   -0.62   -0.57   -0.57   -0.49   -0.48   -0.48   -0.47   -0.40   -0.39   -0.48   -0.31   -0.26
1926   -0.23   -0.32   -0.33   -0.44   -0.46   -0.34   -0.42   -0.32   -0.37   -0.34   -0.35   -0.50
1927   -0.56   -0.47   -0.62   -0.53   -0.54   -0.47   -0.39   -0.40   -0.38   -0.26   -0.39   -0.69
1928   -0.33   -0.45   -0.68   -0.57   -0.50   -0.61   -0.42   -0.46   -0.43   -0.41   -0.37   -0.52
1929   -0.81   -1.03   -0.70   -0.66   -0.57   -0.60   -0.60   -0.44   -0.48   -0.38   -0.31   -0.67
1930   -0.62   -0.53   -0.46   -0.43   -0.45   -0.41   -0.36   -0.28   -0.26   -0.29   -0.12   -0.35
1931   -0.31   -0.52   -0.45   -0.48   -0.39   -0.26   -0.26   -0.25   -0.25   -0.24   -0.39   -0.37
1932   -0.16   -0.53   -0.54   -0.33   -0.41   -0.42   -0.36   -0.39   -0.26   -0.33   -0.42   -0.43
1933   -0.64   -0.65   -0.65   -0.50   -0.50   -0.48   -0.45   -0.42   -0.45   -0.42   -0.50   -0.74
1934   -0.51   -0.41   -0.63   -0.53   -0.33   -0.29   -0.29   -0.31   -0.35   -0.33   -0.24   -0.33
1935   -0.52   -0.14   -0.56   -0.56   -0.54   -0.40   -0.42   -0.40   -0.45   -0.35   -0.61   -0.62
1936   -0.62   -0.79   -0.65   -0.61   -0.49   -0.45   -0.32   -0.37   -0.37   -0.35   -0.40   -0.37
1937   -0.56   -0.37   -0.69   -0.51   -0.40   -0.34   -0.27   -0.23   -0.18   -0.20   -0.32   -0.44
1938   -0.35   -0.36   -0.30   -0.28   -0.37   -0.39   -0.33   -0.30   -0.25   -0.20   -0.27   -0.67
1939   -0.47   -0.47   -0.66   -0.50   -0.43   -0.34   -0.33   -0.29   -0.30   -0.42   -0.29   +0.03
1940   -0.72   -0.47   -0.40   -0.31   -0.31   -0.27   -0.20   -0.29   -0.20   -0.26   -0.31   -0.18
1941   -0.34   -0.26   -0.47   -0.26   -0.29   -0.17   -0.17   -0.23   -0.37   -0.07   -0.21   -0.38
1942   -0.17   -0.51   -0.34   -0.28   -0.24   -0.17   -0.28   -0.29   -0.23   -0.14   -0.22   -0.33
1943   -0.57   -0.25   -0.52   -0.24   -0.17   -0.32   -0.14   -0.19   -0.20   +0.01   -0.17   -0.02
1944   +0.11   -0.08   -0.17   -0.30   -0.13   -0.13   -0.06   -0.07   +0.07   -0.01   -0.24   -0.42
1945   -0.36   -0.44   -0.37   -0.20   -0.32   -0.23   -0.30   +0.04   -0.11   -0.10   -0.20   -0.52
1946   -0.19   -0.22   -0.53   -0.26   -0.48   -0.58   -0.42   -0.43   -0.32   -0.35   -0.38   -0.70
1947   -0.59   -0.64   -0.46   -0.36   -0.41   -0.40   -0.38   -0.39   -0.40   -0.26   -0.33   -0.56
1948   -0.22   -0.58   -0.60   -0.47   -0.30   -0.32   -0.45   -0.36   -0.39   -0.33   -0.39   -0.50
1949   -0.23   -0.55   -0.60   -0.41   -0.37   -0.51   -0.42   -0.36   -0.34   -0.36   -0.38   -0.57
1950   -0.69   -0.61   -0.49   -0.51   -0.37   -0.43   -0.40   -0.43   -0.38   -0.40   -0.70   -0.52
1951   -0.64   -0.79   -0.65   -0.41   -0.30   -0.29   -0.25   -0.19   -0.16   -0.20   -0.29   -0.11
1952   -0.18   -0.27   -0.49   -0.29   -0.27   -0.25   -0.24   -0.23   -0.18   -0.32   -0.49   -0.35
1953   -0.23   -0.22   -0.20   -0.18   -0.22   -0.20   -0.26   -0.23   -0.21   -0.20   -0.38   -0.20
1954   -0.61   -0.44   -0.54   -0.55   -0.56   -0.45   -0.46   -0.39   -0.35   -0.37   -0.23   -0.53
1955   -0.24   -0.48   -0.73   -0.58   -0.49   -0.45   -0.44   -0.32   -0.41   -0.42   -0.56   -0.57
1956   -0.55   -0.72   -0.64   -0.64   -0.58   -0.52   -0.53   -0.51   -0.58   -0.50   -0.56   -0.50
1957   -0.46   -0.47   -0.47   -0.37   -0.26   -0.23   -0.27   -0.19   -0.22   -0.27   -0.15   -0.06
1958   0.00   -0.13   -0.28   -0.25   -0.23   -0.29   -0.27   -0.29   -0.30   -0.25   -0.20   -0.20
1959   -0.22   -0.28   -0.23   -0.26   -0.33   -0.27   -0.27   -0.28   -0.24   -0.35   -0.44   -0.34
1960   -0.34   -0.17   -0.65   -0.46   -0.45   -0.30   -0.31   -0.29   -0.23   -0.28   -0.37   -0.11
1961   -0.22   -0.12   -0.22   -0.24   -0.22   -0.18   -0.28   -0.20   -0.30   -0.30   -0.25   -0.32
1962   -0.23   -0.20   -0.29   -0.25   -0.28   -0.27   -0.19   -0.22   -0.19   -0.14   -0.15   -0.21
1963   -0.32   -0.09   -0.39   -0.32   -0.23   -0.28   -0.12   -0.14   -0.11   0.00   -0.02   -0.21
1964   -0.28   -0.49   -0.59   -0.50   -0.43   -0.44   -0.43   -0.52   -0.54   -0.53   -0.49   -0.64
1965   -0.41   -0.60   -0.53   -0.54   -0.42   -0.42   -0.47   -0.41   -0.36   -0.29   -0.38   -0.31
1966   -0.43   -0.38   -0.38   -0.42   -0.41   -0.26   -0.24   -0.28   -0.28   -0.35   -0.33   -0.50
1967   -0.47   -0.57   -0.40   -0.35   -0.23   -0.36   -0.34   -0.31   -0.36   -0.17   -0.34   -0.40
1968   -0.53   -0.56   -0.24   -0.46   -0.46   -0.35   -0.35   -0.36   -0.32   -0.26   -0.27   -0.37
1969   -0.53   -0.51   -0.32   -0.19   -0.20   -0.29   -0.25   -0.26   -0.25   -0.24   -0.12   -0.09
1970   -0.25   -0.15   -0.37   -0.22   -0.30   -0.30   -0.30   -0.35   -0.30   -0.32   -0.29   -0.43
1971   -0.35   -0.58   -0.56   -0.49   -0.47   -0.45   -0.37   -0.39   -0.32   -0.35   -0.25   -0.38
1972   -0.63   -0.58   -0.42   -0.35   -0.31   -0.22   -0.21   -0.19   -0.25   -0.17   -0.17   -0.04
1973   -0.08   +0.02   -0.04   -0.12   -0.14   -0.12   -0.19   -0.23   -0.25   -0.23   -0.28   -0.33
1974   -0.60   -0.65   -0.49   -0.45   -0.41   -0.39   -0.36   -0.36   -0.40   -0.43   -0.38   -0.46
1975   -0.30   -0.41   -0.34   -0.35   -0.32   -0.33   -0.34   -0.44   -0.35   -0.47   -0.50   -0.53
1976   -0.46   -0.54   -0.73   -0.45   -0.51   -0.45   -0.46   -0.46   -0.38   -0.54   -0.41   -0.37
1977   -0.44   -0.20   -0.12   -0.15   -0.14   -0.10   -0.20   -0.23   -0.18   -0.21   -0.07   -0.26
1978   -0.24   -0.29   -0.24   -0.30   -0.33   -0.36   -0.31   -0.39   -0.25   -0.29   -0.16   -0.24
1979   -0.23   -0.33   -0.20   -0.29   -0.24   -0.18   -0.20   -0.17   -0.11   -0.09   -0.07   +0.13
1980   -0.12   -0.10   -0.21   -0.12   -0.07   -0.14   -0.16   -0.18   -0.18   -0.19   -0.03   -0.15
1981   +0.05   -0.06   -0.02   -0.07   -0.15   -0.11   -0.15   -0.13   -0.14   -0.17   -0.14   +0.01
1982   -0.29   -0.27   -0.35   -0.24   -0.18   -0.25   -0.25   -0.24   -0.18   -0.20   -0.20   +0.03
1983   +0.10   +0.03   -0.06   -0.13   -0.13   -0.12   -0.10   -0.07   -0.05   -0.13   +0.05   -0.14
1984   -0.15   -0.23   -0.21   -0.25   -0.13   -0.26   -0.26   -0.21   -0.22   -0.24   -0.32   -0.50
1985   -0.26   -0.42   -0.29   -0.27   -0.22   -0.28   -0.28   -0.21   -0.23   -0.22   -0.28   -0.20
1986   -0.09   -0.17   -0.18   -0.17   -0.17   -0.13   -0.23   -0.20   -0.19   -0.19   -0.22   -0.15
1987   -0.12   +0.07   -0.19   -0.10   -0.07   -0.06   +0.04   0.00   +0.08   0.00   -0.01   +0.15
1988   +0.13   -0.03   +0.02   +0.01   -0.04   -0.01   -0.05   -0.08   -0.04   -0.09   -0.19   -0.07
1989   -0.18   -0.11   -0.12   -0.15   -0.14   -0.14   -0.06   -0.09   -0.08   -0.06   -0.12   -0.02
1990   -0.04   +0.01   +0.25   +0.05   -0.01   -0.02   -0.01   0.00   -0.03   +0.08   +0.15   +0.04
1991   0.00   0.00   -0.09   +0.04   +0.01   +0.04   +0.05   -0.04   -0.04   -0.06   -0.11   -0.15
1992   -0.01   -0.03   -0.09   -0.14   -0.10   -0.15   -0.26   -0.27   -0.27   -0.31   -0.32   -0.18
1993   -0.08   -0.13   -0.08   -0.16   -0.10   -0.15   -0.17   -0.21   -0.24   -0.15   -0.21   -0.12
1994   -0.07   -0.33   -0.08   -0.07   -0.04   -0.09   -0.10   -0.09   -0.07   0.00   +0.06   -0.01
1995   +0.06   +0.17   -0.02   -0.06   -0.10   0.00   +0.05   +0.05   -0.04   +0.03   +0.02   -0.07
1996   -0.12   -0.06   -0.13   -0.14   -0.06   -0.08   -0.07   -0.08   -0.13   -0.16   -0.11   -0.04
1997   -0.10   -0.05   -0.01   -0.05   +0.01   +0.09   +0.09   +0.11   +0.19   +0.21   +0.24   +0.28
1998   +0.20   +0.43   +0.18   +0.31   +0.27   +0.26   +0.30   +0.28   +0.14   +0.11   +0.05   +0.11
1999   +0.04   +0.18   -0.08   +0.02   -0.03   -0.04   -0.02   -0.07   -0.03   -0.06   -0.03   +0.03
2000   -0.10   +0.07   +0.06   +0.13   +0.04   -0.02   -0.02   +0.05   +0.01   -0.08   -0.12   -0.08
2001   +0.04   -0.04   +0.14   +0.12   +0.15   +0.12   +0.14   +0.18   +0.11   +0.12   +0.26   +0.10
2002   +0.29   +0.28   +0.26   +0.14   +0.13   +0.16   +0.15   +0.10   +0.13   +0.07   +0.13   +0.05
2003   +0.16   +0.04   +0.09   +0.07   +0.16   +0.14   +0.14   +0.17   +0.18   +0.24   +0.18   +0.25
2004   +0.12   +0.21   +0.18   +0.14   0.00   +0.03   +0.04   +0.06   +0.12   +0.15   +0.24   +0.10
2005   +0.16   +0.01   +0.14   +0.20   +0.18   +0.21   +0.24   +0.16   +0.22   +0.19   +0.21   +0.09
2006   +0.03   +0.06   +0.07   +0.10   +0.09   +0.18   +0.18   +0.17   +0.18   +0.23   +0.24   +0.28
2007   +0.29   +0.18   +0.14   +0.16   +0.12   +0.10   +0.10   +0.09   +0.13   +0.10   +0.04   -0.02
2008   -0.21   -0.13   +0.13   -0.01   0.00   +0.03   +0.13   +0.10   +0.11   +0.18   +0.16   +0.06
2009   +0.05   +0.07   +0.08   +0.12   +0.14   +0.21   +0.21   +0.23   +0.22   +0.19   +0.23   +0.17
2010   +0.21   +0.17   +0.28   +0.27   +0.23   +0.26   +0.24   +0.19   +0.16   +0.11   +0.19   0.00
2011   -0.07   -0.04   +0.02   +0.14   +0.07   +0.16   +0.15   +0.14   +0.11   +0.11   +0.07   +0.02
2012   -0.04   -0.11   +0.04   +0.16   +0.22   +0.22   +0.22   +0.23   +0.25   +0.22   +0.25   +0.06
2013   +0.13   +0.13   +0.13   +0.12   +0.21   +0.20   +0.23   +0.23   +0.26   +0.21   +0.31   +0.18
2014   +0.19   +0.02   +0.22   +0.31   +0.31   +0.33   +0.28   +0.33   +0.35   +0.34   +0.24   +0.31
2015   +0.29   +0.26   +0.31   +0.30   +0.38   +0.41   +0.38   +0.46   +0.51   +0.53   +0.54   +0.66
2016   +0.52   +0.62   +0.64   +0.54   +0.38   +0.41   +0.43   +0.43   +0.42   +0.30   +0.28   +0.35
2017   +0.39   +0.46   +0.48   +0.39   +0.36   +0.36   +0.41   +0.39   +0.35   +0.30   +0.30   +0.28
2018   +0.21   +0.19   +0.34   +0.32   +0.34   +0.28*                  

7
L' area del ghiaccio marino nelle Svalbard  per il  giorno 16 luglio 2018 Ŕ  stata di 166.483 kmq.
125.910 km quadrati al di sotto della media del periodo 1981-2010 risultando l'area pi¨ bassa per questo giorno dell'anno
8
gfs da un po' di run sul lungo non e' bello..speriamo si calmi  ::)
9
Nowcasting Toscana / Re:Nowcasting Toscana martedý 17 luglio 2018
« Ultimo post da Sniek il Oggi alle 07:18:48 pm »
Aumentata la ventilazione e calata l'Ur. Si respira. Quel cumulonembo verso SE almeno era bello da verde, da qui
10
Nowcasting Toscana / Re:Nowcasting Toscana martedý 17 luglio 2018
« Ultimo post da Stevesylvester il Oggi alle 07:13:27 pm »
Si alla fine e' durato quanto l'abbaio d'un cane. Peccato, faceva comodo.
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